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ALPHA IVF GROUP BERHAD

Alpha IVF Posts Record RM57M Profit, Expands into Philippines

Alpha IVF Group Berhad reported a robust FY2025 with an 8.5% rise in PATMI to RM57.5 million, driven by strong revenue growth (5.5% to RM176.8 million). Malaysia operations, especially foreign patient demand (70% of revenue), fueled performance, while Singapore contributed RM19.6 million. The group declared a 1.00 sen/share dividend (84.6% payout ratio), exceeding its 60% commitment. Expansion into the Philippines with a new fertility center signals growth ambitions, targeting minimally invasive gynecology services. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **Record profitability**: PATMI growth reflects operational efficiency and pricing power. - **Foreign patient surge**: 70% revenue contribution from international markets (China, Indonesia, Singapore) reduces reliance on local demand. - **Dividend outperformance**: 84.6% payout ratio exceeds targets, appealing to income investors. - **Strategic expansion**: Philippines entry diversifies revenue streams and taps into regional healthcare demand. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Geographic concentration**: 88.9% revenue from Malaysia exposes risks to regulatory/travel policy changes. - **Singapore stagnation**: Flat contributions suggest limited market penetration. **Rating**: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - Dividend announcement may attract yield-seeking investors. - Foreign patient recovery signals post-pandemic resilience. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - Macro risks (currency fluctuations, regional travel restrictions) could dampen foreign revenue. - High payout ratio limits retained earnings for future growth. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - Philippines expansion could replicate Malaysia’s success with foreign patients. - Rising fertility treatment demand in Asia supports sector tailwinds. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - Intensifying competition in IVF markets (e.g., Thailand, India). - Regulatory hurdles in new markets (Philippines) may delay profitability. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | |------------------|----------------------------| | **Profitability** | Strong (PATMI +8.5%) | | **Growth** | Moderate (5.5% revenue) | | **Dividends** | High (84.6% payout) | | **Risks** | Geographic concentration | **Recommendations**: - **Income Investors**: Attractive for high dividends but monitor payout sustainability. - **Growth Investors**: Watch Philippines execution; potential if expansion succeeds. - **Conservative Investors**: Assess reliance on foreign patient volatility.

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Zetrix AI Berhad

Zetrix AI Shares Drop 12% on Government Contract Termination

Zetrix AI Bhd’s shares plunged 12% to a one-month low after Malaysia’s government ended its contract for foreign worker permit renewals, shifting the service to Bestinet Sdn Bhd. The stock closed at 83.5 sen, down 8.24%, with trading volume surging to 256 million shares—the highest in four months. Analysts noted the contract contributed minimally to revenue, emphasizing Zetrix’s focus on blockchain and AI as future growth drivers. MBSB Research maintained a "buy" rating (target: RM1.25), citing strong fundamentals. However, investor sentiment remains shaky due to the abrupt contract termination and heightened regulatory risks. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **Strong fundamentals**: Analyst Martin Foo highlights Zetrix’s core growth in blockchain/AI, reducing reliance on the terminated contract. - **High liquidity**: Surge in trading volume indicates strong market interest, potentially attracting bargain hunters. - **Research support**: MBSB’s "buy" call suggests undervaluation at current levels. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Regulatory uncertainty**: Government contract cancellations may signal broader policy shifts affecting Zetrix’s other services. - **Revenue disruption**: While minor, the loss adds to near-term earnings volatility. - **Sentiment damage**: Sharp sell-off reflects weakened investor confidence. **Rating**: ⭐⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - Oversold conditions could trigger technical rebounds. - Blockchain/AI optimism may offset contract loss fears. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - Continued sell-off if institutional investors exit. - Lack of immediate catalysts to restore confidence. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - Pivot to high-growth sectors (AI/blockchain) diversifies revenue streams. - Potential government partnerships in tech could replace lost contracts. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - Regulatory headwinds persist if more contracts are reviewed. - Execution risks in transitioning to tech-focused business model. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | |------------------|-----------------------------| | **Short-Term** | Neutral-to-negative | | **Long-Term** | Cautiously optimistic | **Recommendations**: - **Aggressive investors**: Consider accumulating at lows, betting on AI/blockchain potential. - **Conservative investors**: Wait for stabilization and clearer regulatory clarity.

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EKOVEST BERHAD

Ekovest and Knusford Stocks Drop After Merger Collapse

Shares of Ekovest Bhd and Knusford Bhd fell sharply after their proposed RM450 million merger failed to materialize. Ekovest closed down 7.95% at 40.5 sen, while Knusford dropped 17.7% to 51 sen, with both stocks experiencing heavy trading volumes. The companies cited disagreements over transaction value and key terms as the reason for the deal’s collapse, though they left the door open for future discussions. The merger aimed to consolidate construction assets under Knusford, eliminating related-party transactions for major shareholder Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo. Despite the setback, Ekovest remains active in another acquisition—extending its deadline to buy a 70% stake in Credence Resources for RM1.15 billion. The failed deal raises questions about corporate restructuring efforts but is not expected to impact financial or operational stability. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **Future Merger Potential**: Both companies remain open to revisiting merger talks, signaling possible future consolidation. - **No Financial Impact**: The collapse does not affect financials or operations, reducing immediate downside risks. - **High Trading Volume**: Elevated interest suggests liquidity, which could stabilize prices post-drop. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Investor Confidence**: Sharp declines reflect market disappointment, potentially leading to prolonged selling pressure. - **Corporate Governance**: Repeated deadline extensions and unclear deal terms may raise transparency concerns. - **Related-Party Complexity**: Lim Kang Hoo’s dual ownership could complicate future negotiations. **Rating**: ⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - **Oversold Bounce**: Heavy selling may attract bargain hunters, leading to a short-term rebound. - **Credence Deal Progress**: Ekovest’s ongoing acquisition could shift focus away from the failed merger. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - **Continued Volatility**: Uncertainty around future deals may keep prices under pressure. - **Sector Weakness**: Broader market sentiment toward construction stocks could amplify declines. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - **Strategic Realignment**: Successful future mergers could streamline operations and unlock value. - **Strong Backing**: Major shareholder involvement may drive long-term restructuring efforts. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - **Execution Risk**: Repeated deal failures could erode investor trust in management. - **Market Conditions**: Economic or sector-specific downturns may hinder recovery. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | **Key Takeaways** | |------------------|-----------------------|--------------------------------------------| | **Sentiment** | Negative (Short-Term) | Merger collapse drives sell-off, but no operational harm. | | **Short-Term** | Volatile | Potential rebound vs. lingering uncertainty. | | **Long-Term** | Neutral | Future deals possible, but execution risks remain. | **Recommendations:** - **Traders**: Watch for oversold bounce opportunities but remain cautious on volatility. - **Long-Term Investors**: Monitor future merger developments before committing capital. - **Risk-Averse Investors**: Avoid until clearer strategic direction emerges.

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BERJAYA FOOD BERHAD

Berjaya Food Proposes Bonus Warrants Amidst Financial Struggles

Berjaya Food Bhd (KL:BJFOOD) has announced a one-for-two bonus warrant issue to raise RM265.8 million for working capital, assuming full exercise at 30 sen per warrant. The warrants, exercisable over 10 years, come as the company reports a widening net loss of RM106.2 million for 9M2025, citing revenue declines tied to geopolitical sentiment. Shares fell 1.75% to 28 sen, reflecting an 8% YTD drop and 19% annual decline. While the capital raise could stabilize operations, investor confidence remains shaky due to persistent losses and macroeconomic headwinds. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **Capital Injection**: Potential RM265.8 million from warrants could bolster liquidity for recovery efforts. - **Long-Term Flexibility**: 10-year warrant tenure allows gradual equity dilution and strategic reinvestment. - **Brand Portfolio**: Starbucks and Kenny Rogers’ Roasters franchises retain intrinsic value despite current challenges. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Mounting Losses**: RM106.2 million net loss (9M2025) signals operational strain, with revenue down 39.8% YoY. - **Geopolitical Sensitivity**: Performance linked to "Gaza war sentiment" hints at vulnerability to external shocks. - **Share Price Decline**: Stock down 19% over 12 months, reflecting weak market confidence. **Rating**: ⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - Warrant issuance may attract speculative trading if priced attractively (30 sen vs. 27.92 sen VWAP). - Working capital infusion could ease near-term liquidity concerns. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - Dilution fears may pressure shares further if investors question execution. - Broader market skepticism given prolonged underperformance. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - Successful capital deployment could revive revenue growth, especially in core F&B brands. - Warrants provide a low-risk entry for long-term holders betting on turnaround. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - Persistent losses and geopolitical risks may erode equity value. - Execution risks in stabilizing operations amid high leverage. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | |------------------|-----------------------------| | **Short-Term** | Neutral-to-Negative (watch for warrant uptake) | | **Long-Term** | Cautious (dependent on turnaround execution) | **Recommendations**: - **Speculative Traders**: Short-term plays on warrant pricing volatility. - **Value Investors**: Monitor for signs of operational stabilization before entry. - **Risk-Averse**: Avoid until clearer profitability signals emerge.

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YINSON HOLDINGS BERHAD

Yinson Secures $600M Vietnam FSO Deal, Boosting Offshore Energy Prospects

Yinson Holdings' joint venture with PetroVietnam Technical Services Corp has signed a 14-year charter contract (extendable to 23 years) for a floating storage and offloading (FSO) vessel with Phu Quoc Petroleum Operating Company. The deal, valued at up to $600 million, supports gas supply to Vietnam’s southwest region, aligning with the country’s rising energy demand. The project targets the Block B field, located 250–400km offshore, and underscores Yinson’s expansion in Southeast Asia’s energy infrastructure. The partnership strengthens Yinson’s foothold in Vietnam’s oil and gas sector, while the long-term contract provides revenue visibility. However, execution risks and geopolitical factors in the region remain considerations. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **High-Value Contract**: Potential $600M revenue over 23 years enhances financial stability. - **Strategic Partnership**: Collaboration with PetroVietnam strengthens regional credibility. - **Energy Demand Tailwinds**: Aligns with Vietnam’s growing gas needs, ensuring long-term demand. - **Revenue Visibility**: 14-year base term mitigates near-term volatility. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Execution Risk**: Operational challenges in deepwater (77–80m) environments. - **Geopolitical Sensitivity**: Vietnam’s regulatory landscape may introduce uncertainties. - **Extension Dependency**: ~40% of contract value hinges on optional 9-year renewal. **Rating**: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - Investor optimism from a major contract win could drive stock momentum. - Positive sentiment around Yinson’s offshore energy expertise. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - Profit-taking after news-driven rally. - Delays in project rollout or cost overruns. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - Recurring revenue from long-term charters solidifies cash flow. - Expansion into Vietnam’s energy market opens future opportunities. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - Oil/gas price volatility impacting project economics. - Competition in Southeast Asia’s FSO market. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | **Key Takeaways** | |------------------|------------------------|--------------------------------------------| | **Sentiment** | Cautiously Optimistic | Strong contract but execution-dependent. | | **Short-Term** | Mildly Positive | News-driven rally likely, but volatile. | | **Long-Term** | Stable Growth | Revenue visibility offsets sector risks. | **Recommendations**: - **Growth Investors**: Attractive for exposure to Southeast Asia’s energy sector. - **Income Investors**: Monitor dividend sustainability post-contract execution. - **Risk-Averse**: Wait for operational milestones before entry.

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BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (MALAYSIA) BERHAD

BAT Malaysia Soars on Strong Earnings Despite Vape Ban Concerns

British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Bhd (BAT) surged 10.5% intraday after reporting a 40% YoY jump in 2QFY2025 net profit to RM50.95 million, driven by cost savings from exiting its Vuse vape business. Despite a 2.45% revenue decline to RM624.75 million, lower operating expenses boosted margins, prompting a 12 sen/share dividend. However, the stock remains down 33% YTD amid weak sales and regulatory headwinds, including Malaysia’s proposed ban on open-system vape products. The government’s crackdown on illicit substances in vaping adds uncertainty, though BAT’s exit from the segment may mitigate near-term risks. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **Earnings Beat**: 40% YoY profit growth despite lower revenue signals effective cost management. - **Dividend Boost**: 12 sen/share payout (RM34.26 million total) reflects confidence in cash flow. - **Sector Outperformance**: Stock among Bursa Malaysia’s top gainers post-results. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Regulatory Pressure**: Proposed vape ban could further dent sentiment in tobacco sector. - **Revenue Decline**: 2.45% drop highlights persistent sales challenges. - **YTD Underperformance**: 33% decline shows broader market skepticism. **Rating**: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - Momentum from earnings surprise may attract short-term traders. - Dividend announcement could lure income-focused investors. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - Profit-taking after sharp intraday rally (10.5% peak). - Market reaction to vape ban details if government accelerates policy. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - Cost-cutting success could sustain margins even with flat revenue. - Dividend stability if core tobacco business remains cash-generative. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - Prolonged sales slump if vaping ban drives consumers to illicit markets. - Regulatory tightening on traditional tobacco products. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | |------------------|-----------------------------| | **Earnings** | Positive (cost savings) | | **Dividends** | Positive (yield support) | | **Regulation** | Negative (vape ban risk) | | **Technical** | Neutral (YTD downtrend) | **Recommendations**: - **Income Investors**: Attractive dividend, but monitor regulatory risks. - **Growth Traders**: Short-term rally potential, but volatile due to policy shifts. - **Long-Term Holders**: Wait for clearer regulatory outlook before accumulating.

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ANEKA JARINGAN HOLDINGS BERHAD

Aneka Jaringan Posts 73% Profit Surge on Strong Project Execution

Aneka Jaringan Holdings Bhd delivered robust 3Q25 results, with PAT soaring 72.6% YoY to RM0.95 million, driven by efficient project execution and cost control. Revenue grew 18.1% to RM49.4 million, supported by ongoing Malaysian projects. Year-to-date performance was equally strong, with revenue up 26.5% to RM195.83 million and PAT nearly doubling to RM4.4 million. The company secured RM158.15 million in new contracts, boosting its order book to RM233.83 million, with an additional RM108.26 million in fresh wins, including a major data center project. While management remains cautiously optimistic, macroeconomic challenges and selective bidding could temper near-term growth. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **Strong Profit Growth**: 73% YoY PAT increase reflects operational efficiency. - **Revenue Momentum**: 18.1% YoY revenue growth underscores steady project execution. - **Healthy Order Book**: RM233.83 million outstanding orders + RM108.26 million new contracts provide visibility. - **Diversified Projects**: Data center and infrastructure wins (e.g., Rapid Transit System) reduce reliance on single sectors. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Macro Uncertainty**: Management’s cautious outlook hints at external headwinds. - **Cost Pressures**: Prudent cost control remains critical amid inflationary risks. - **Execution Risk**: Large order book demands flawless project delivery. **Rating**: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - Earnings beat could trigger positive analyst revisions. - New contract announcements (e.g., RM72.3 million data center job) may buoy sentiment. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - Profit-taking after strong YTD performance. - Delays in project execution or cost overruns. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - Order book sustainability with RM266 million+ new projects in FY25. - Expansion in high-growth sectors (data centers, transit infrastructure). - Operational discipline supporting margin resilience. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - Economic slowdown impacting contract awards. - Intensifying competition in construction sector. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | |------------------|------------------------| | **Earnings** | Strong growth (73% YoY)| | **Revenue** | Steady (18.1% YoY) | | **Order Book** | Robust (RM233.83m) | | **Risks** | Macro, execution | **Recommendations**: - **Growth Investors**: Attractive due to order book momentum. - **Value Investors**: Monitor margin sustainability. - **Short-Term Traders**: Watch for contract-driven volatility.

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HEXZA CORPORATION BERHAD

Hexza Corp Expands into Sustainable Corn-Based Ethanol Production

Hexza Corporation’s subsidiary, Chemical Industries (Malaya) (CIM), has launched a groundbreaking corn-based ethanol plant in Perak, Malaysia, marking a strategic shift toward sustainable production. The facility utilizes corn as feedstock, producing ethanol and high-value livestock feed (DDGS), aligning with circular economy principles. Backed by government support from MIDA and InvestPerak, the project strengthens Malaysia’s bio-based value chain, reduces import dependency, and enhances ESG compliance. CIM’s legacy as Malaysia’s first ethanol producer and its diversification into DDGS position it as a leader in sustainable industrial growth. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **Sustainability Focus**: Corn-based ethanol and DDGS production align with global ESG trends, appealing to eco-conscious investors. - **Government Backing**: Endorsement from MIDA and InvestPerak signals regulatory support and potential incentives. - **Market Leadership**: First-mover advantage in local DDGS production, addressing food security and agricultural demand. - **Diversification**: Expansion beyond ethanol into vinegar and livestock feed reduces reliance on a single product line. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Commodity Price Volatility**: Corn prices could fluctuate, impacting production costs and margins. - **Execution Risk**: New technology adoption may face operational teething issues. - **Regulatory Dependence**: Continued government support is critical for long-term viability. **Rating**: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - Positive market sentiment around ESG initiatives could drive short-term stock appreciation. - Potential partnerships or contracts for DDGS, given its novelty in Malaysia. - Media coverage and government praise may attract retail investor interest. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - Initial capex costs may weigh on near-term profitability. - Sector-wide volatility (e.g., energy or agricultural commodity swings) could overshadow the news. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - Rising demand for biofuels and sustainable livestock feed could solidify CIM’s market position. - Circular economy adoption may open doors for carbon credits or green financing. - Export potential for DDGS to neighboring ASEAN markets. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - Competition from larger global ethanol producers could pressure margins. - Slow adoption of bio-based products in regional markets may limit growth. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | |------------------|----------------------------| | **Short-Term** | Cautiously optimistic | | **Long-Term** | Moderately bullish | **Recommendations**: - **Growth Investors**: Monitor execution progress and DDGS market penetration. - **ESG-Focused Investors**: Strong alignment with sustainability goals; consider as a thematic play. - **Value Investors**: Await clearer profitability metrics post-plant ramp-up.

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CTOS DIGITAL BERHAD

CTOS Q2 Earnings Dip Amid Revenue Growth, Cautious 2025 Outlook

CTOS Digital Bhd reported mixed Q2 2025 results, with net profit declining to RM21.16 million (from RM25.5 million YoY) despite a 3.1% revenue increase to RM79 million. The drop in profitability was attributed to higher operational expenses, particularly in its Malaysian segment, though international operations in Indonesia and the Philippines showed improved performance. Management remains cautiously optimistic, emphasizing product innovation, digital adoption, and financial literacy initiatives to drive growth. A 0.65 sen interim dividend was declared, signaling confidence in cash flow stability. ##### **Sentiment Analysis** ✅ **Positive Factors** - **Revenue Growth**: Quarterly revenue rose 3.1% YoY, driven by demand for digital solutions. - **International Expansion**: Indonesia/Philippines segments saw higher revenue (RM20.2 million) and profit (RM1.5 million). - **Dividend Commitment**: Interim dividend payout reflects stable cash flow. - **Strategic Focus**: Emphasis on digital adoption and partnerships to sustain growth. ⚠️ **Concerns/Risks** - **Profit Decline**: Net profit fell 17% YoY due to rising operational costs. - **Malaysian Segment Weakness**: Local segment profit dropped, offsetting international gains. - **EPS Contraction**: Basic EPS declined to 0.9 sen (from 1.1 sen YoY). **Rating**: ⭐⭐⭐ --- ##### **Short-Term Reaction** 📈 **Factors Supporting Upside** - Dividend announcement may attract income-focused investors. - Revenue growth suggests underlying demand resilience. 📉 **Potential Downside Risks** - Profit miss could trigger sell-offs if cost pressures persist. - Market sentiment may weigh on valuation amid EPS contraction. --- ##### **Long-Term Outlook** 🚀 **Bull Case Factors** - Digital transformation tailwinds in ASEAN markets. - International segment scalability could diversify earnings. - Financial literacy initiatives may expand consumer base. ⚠️ **Bear Case Factors** - Operational inefficiencies may erode margins further. - Competition in credit analytics could pressure pricing. --- ##### **Investor Insights** | **Aspect** | **Sentiment** | |------------------|-----------------------------| | **Short-Term** | Neutral (dividend vs. profit concerns) | | **Long-Term** | Cautiously optimistic | **Recommendations**: - **Income Investors**: Hold for dividend stability. - **Growth Investors**: Monitor international expansion execution. - **Value Investors**: Await margin improvement signals.

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