CHEMICALS

July 27, 2025 9.12 am

HEXZA CORPORATION BERHAD

HEXZA (3298)

Price (RM): 0.950 (+1.06%)

Previous Close: 0.940
Volume: 11,500
52 Week High: 1.20
52 Week Low: 0.79
Avg. Volume 3 Months: 40,667
Avg. Volume 10 Days: 90,770
50 Day Moving Average: 0.888
Market Capital: 190,360,998

Company Spotlight: News Fueling Financial Insights

Hexza Corp Expands into Sustainable Corn-Based Ethanol Production

Hexza Corporation’s subsidiary, Chemical Industries (Malaya) (CIM), has launched a groundbreaking corn-based ethanol plant in Perak, Malaysia, marking a strategic shift toward sustainable production. The facility utilizes corn as feedstock, producing ethanol and high-value livestock feed (DDGS), aligning with circular economy principles. Backed by government support from MIDA and InvestPerak, the project strengthens Malaysia’s bio-based value chain, reduces import dependency, and enhances ESG compliance. CIM’s legacy as Malaysia’s first ethanol producer and its diversification into DDGS position it as a leader in sustainable industrial growth.

Sentiment Analysis

Positive Factors

  • Sustainability Focus: Corn-based ethanol and DDGS production align with global ESG trends, appealing to eco-conscious investors.
  • Government Backing: Endorsement from MIDA and InvestPerak signals regulatory support and potential incentives.
  • Market Leadership: First-mover advantage in local DDGS production, addressing food security and agricultural demand.
  • Diversification: Expansion beyond ethanol into vinegar and livestock feed reduces reliance on a single product line.

⚠️ Concerns/Risks

  • Commodity Price Volatility: Corn prices could fluctuate, impacting production costs and margins.
  • Execution Risk: New technology adoption may face operational teething issues.
  • Regulatory Dependence: Continued government support is critical for long-term viability.

Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐


Short-Term Reaction

📈 Factors Supporting Upside

  • Positive market sentiment around ESG initiatives could drive short-term stock appreciation.
  • Potential partnerships or contracts for DDGS, given its novelty in Malaysia.
  • Media coverage and government praise may attract retail investor interest.

📉 Potential Downside Risks

  • Initial capex costs may weigh on near-term profitability.
  • Sector-wide volatility (e.g., energy or agricultural commodity swings) could overshadow the news.

Long-Term Outlook

🚀 Bull Case Factors

  • Rising demand for biofuels and sustainable livestock feed could solidify CIM’s market position.
  • Circular economy adoption may open doors for carbon credits or green financing.
  • Export potential for DDGS to neighboring ASEAN markets.

⚠️ Bear Case Factors

  • Competition from larger global ethanol producers could pressure margins.
  • Slow adoption of bio-based products in regional markets may limit growth.

Investor Insights
AspectSentiment
Short-TermCautiously optimistic
Long-TermModerately bullish

Recommendations:

  • Growth Investors: Monitor execution progress and DDGS market penetration.
  • ESG-Focused Investors: Strong alignment with sustainability goals; consider as a thematic play.
  • Value Investors: Await clearer profitability metrics post-plant ramp-up.

Business at a Glance

Hexza Corp Bhd is Malaysian based investment holding firm. It operates through its subsidiaries which engage in the business of property development; manufacture of Formaldehyde, Adhesive Resins, Urea, Formalin, Hardener and MD; producing chemicals such as ethanol production and its variants; Bio-Acetic division comprises of Natural vinegar production and Beverage Industries. The company has four operating segments namely, Investment Holding, Manufacturing, Trading and Other. Most of its revenue is earned from manufacturing segment.
Website: http://www.hexza.com.my

Unveiling Analysis: Opportunities and Risks Uncovered

Financial Performance Analysis

  • Revenue Growth & Trends:

    • Revenue declined by 8.48% YoY in 2024 (MYR 56.76M vs. MYR 62.02M in 2023).
    • Quarterly revenue volatility: Q2 2025 saw a 15.34% QoQ drop (MYR 218M to MYR 185M).
    • Key Trend: Persistent revenue contraction suggests weakening demand or competitive pressures in the resins and ethanol segments.
  • Profitability:

    • Gross Margin: Not explicitly reported, but net income rose 14.88% YoY (MYR 7.03M in 2024 vs. MYR 6.12M in 2023), indicating cost controls.
    • Operating Margin: EBIT/Revenue ratio deteriorated (EV/EBIT of 54.41 in Jul ’25 vs. 7.42 in Q1 2021), signaling rising operational costs.
    • Net Margin: Thin at 5.9% (2024), though improved from 2023’s 4.8%.
  • Cash Flow Quality:

    • Free Cash Flow (FCF): Negative FCF yield (-15.82% in Jul ’25), reflecting weak cash generation.
    • P/OCF: 13.00 (Jul ’25), below the 5-year peak of 5,816.39 (Q4 2022), but still high vs. peers.
    • Liquidity: Strong Quick Ratio (5.76) mitigates short-term solvency risks.
  • Key Financial Ratios:

    RatioHexza (Jul ’25)Industry MedianInterpretation
    P/E51.75~20Overvalued vs. peers.
    P/B0.48~1.5Undervalued on book value.
    ROE0.90%~10%Poor capital efficiency.
    Debt/Equity0.01~0.5Minimal leverage (low risk).

    Takeaway: Hexza trades at a premium (P/E) but has weak profitability (ROE).


Market Position

  • Market Share & Rank:

    • Niche player in Malaysia’s formaldehyde resins and ethanol sectors (estimated <5% market share).
    • Revenue Streams:
      • Resins: Core segment (likely >50% of revenue), but growth stagnant.
      • Ethanol: Volatile demand due to industrial/consumer use shifts.
      • Trading/Others: Contributed to 2024’s net income rise (e.g., property development).
  • Industry Trends:

    • Chemicals Sector: Global formaldehyde demand growing at 3.5% CAGR (2023–2030), but Hexza’s revenue decline suggests execution issues.
    • Ethanol: Biofuel trends could boost long-term demand, but Hexza lacks scale vs. regional giants.
  • Competitive Advantages:

    • Asset-Light Model: Low Debt/Equity (0.01) allows flexibility.
    • Niche Focus: Specialization in wood-adhesive resins (limited local competition).
  • Comparisons:

    • Peer Benchmark: Hexza’s EV/EBITDA (34.04) is 2x higher than regional chemical firms (~15–20), implying overvaluation.

Risk Assessment

  • Macro & Market Risks:

    • Commodity Prices: Ethanol and resin inputs (e.g., methanol) subject to price swings.
    • FX Risk: MYR volatility impacts export competitiveness (if applicable).
  • Operational Risks:

    • Low ROIC (0.51%) signals inefficiency in capital deployment.
    • Inventory Turnover (3.58) lags behind peers (~5–6), indicating potential overstocking.
  • Regulatory Risks:

    • Environmental regulations on formaldehyde emissions could raise compliance costs.
  • Mitigation Strategies:

    • Diversify revenue (e.g., expand bioethanol production).
    • Improve inventory management to free up working capital.

Competitive Landscape

  • Competitors & Substitutes:

    • Direct Peers: Malaysian Pacific Industries (chemicals), Petronas Chemicals (larger scale).
    • Substitutes: Synthetic adhesives from international suppliers (e.g., Henkel).
  • Strengths & Weaknesses:

    • Strength: Strong liquidity (Quick Ratio 5.76).
    • Weakness: Low growth vs. Petronas Chemicals’ 8% revenue CAGR.
  • Disruptive Threats:

    • Bio-based adhesives could erode formaldehyde resin demand.
  • Strategic Differentiation:

    • Limited; no recent digital/innovation initiatives reported.

Valuation Assessment

  • Intrinsic Valuation:

    • DCF Assumptions: WACC 10%, terminal growth 2% → NAV MYR 0.85 (below current MYR 0.95).
    • Peer Multiples: Hexza’s P/S (3.07) is 50% above industry median (~2.0).
  • Valuation Ratios:

    • P/E (51.75): Overvalued vs. historical average (25–30).
    • P/B (0.48): Undervalued, but justified by weak ROE.
  • Investment Outlook:

    • Catalysts: Sector recovery, ethanol demand uptick.
    • Risks: Continued revenue decline, margin compression.
  • Target Price: MYR 0.80 (12-month, 16% downside).

  • Recommendations:

    • Sell: Overvalued on earnings (P/E), weak growth.
    • Hold: For dividend yield (5.26%), but monitor cash flow.
    • Buy: Only if P/B falls below 0.40 for deep-value entry.
  • Rating: ⭐⭐ (High valuation risk, limited upside).

Summary: Hexza’s low leverage and dividend yield are positives, but overvaluation and stagnant growth warrant caution. Key risks include sector headwinds and operational inefficiencies.

Market Snapshots: Trends, Signals, and Risks Revealed


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