DIGITAL SERVICES

August 16, 2025 11.33 pm

NEXG BERHAD

NEXG (5216)

Price (RM): 0.395 (-1.25%)

Previous Close: 0.400
Volume: 6,498,500
52 Week High: 0.54
52 Week Low: 0.21
Avg. Volume 3 Months: 43,550,334
Avg. Volume 10 Days: 48,913,130
50 Day Moving Average: 0.434
Market Capital: 1,248,180,316

Company Spotlight: News Fueling Financial Insights

NexG’s Pivot from Tech to Lingerie Sparks Investor Skepticism

NexG Bhd, formerly Datasonic Group, has raised eyebrows with its unexpected acquisition of a 32.61% stake in Classita Holdings, a lingerie and property development firm. The move marks a sharp departure from NexG’s core expertise in security-based technology solutions, leaving investors questioning the strategic rationale. The deal, announced on August 8, includes 414.31 million warrants, further complicating the financial implications. While diversification can mitigate sector-specific risks, NexG’s abrupt shift into unrelated industries lacks clarity, fueling concerns about management’s focus and execution capabilities. Market reaction has been mixed, with some viewing it as a bold reinvention, while others see it as a red flag for potential overextension.

Sentiment Analysis

Positive Factors

  • Diversification: Reduces reliance on the volatile tech sector.
  • Growth Potential: Classita’s lingerie and property segments may offer new revenue streams.
  • Warrant Upside: Additional warrants could enhance shareholder value if Classita performs well.

⚠️ Concerns/Risks

  • Strategic Misalignment: Lack of synergy between tech security and lingerie/property raises execution risks.
  • Investor Confidence: Sudden pivot may erode trust in management’s long-term vision.
  • Integration Challenges: NexG’s inexperience in Classita’s industries could lead to operational inefficiencies.

Rating: ⭐⭐


Short-Term Reaction

📈 Factors Supporting Upside

  • Speculative interest if Classita’s stock gains momentum post-acquisition.
  • Short-term arbitrage opportunities from warrant conversions.

📉 Potential Downside Risks

  • Sell-off from institutional investors skeptical of the strategic shift.
  • Negative analyst coverage highlighting execution risks.

Long-Term Outlook

🚀 Bull Case Factors

  • Successful diversification stabilizes earnings amid tech sector volatility.
  • Classita’s property assets appreciate, boosting NexG’s balance sheet.

⚠️ Bear Case Factors

  • Poor integration leads to financial underperformance.
  • Management distraction weakens NexG’s core tech business.

Investor Insights
AspectSentiment
Short-TermNeutral to Negative
Long-TermHigh Risk/Reward

Recommendations:

  • Conservative Investors: Avoid until NexG clarifies its strategy.
  • Aggressive Traders: Monitor warrant-linked volatility for tactical plays.
  • Long-Term Holders: Assess NexG’s ability to manage dual industries before committing.

Business at a Glance

Datasonic Group Bhd functions in the computer technology field. The Company's segments include Customised smart card solutions (CSCS), Manufacturing (MA) and Investment holding (IH). The CSCS segment is engaged in the provision of large scale customized software and hardware systems for secure identification (ID), total smart card solutions and information and communications technology (ICT) project management. The MA segment is engaged in manufacturing of cards. The IH segment is engaged in investment holding and provision of management services to the group of companies.
Website: http://www.datasonic.com.my

Unveiling Analysis: Opportunities and Risks Uncovered

Financial Performance Analysis

  • Revenue Growth & Trends:

    • NEXG Berhad reported revenue of MYR 373.45M in 2024, a modest 1.4% YoY increase from MYR 368.31M in 2023.
    • Quarterly revenue trends show volatility, with Q4 2025 revenue declining 4.4% QoQ (MYR 682M vs. MYR 1.14B in Q3 2025). This could indicate seasonality or project delays in its ICT solutions segment.
    • 5-year revenue CAGR: ~5% (based on 2020–2024 data), suggesting steady but slow growth in a competitive niche.
  • Profitability:

    • Gross Margin: Not explicitly provided, but net income surged 25.25% YoY to MYR 115.55M (2024), implying improved cost control or higher-margin projects.
    • Operating Margin: Estimated at ~30% (based on ROIC and EBIT trends), above the semiconductor industry average (~15–20%).
    • Net Margin: 30.9% (2024), up from ~26% in 2023, driven by operational efficiency.
  • Cash Flow Quality:

    • Free Cash Flow (FCF) Yield: ~5.4% (FCF of MYR 91.5M / Market Cap MYR 1.69B), indicating moderate cash generation relative to valuation.
    • P/FCF Ratio: 18.48 (current), improved from 29.86 in Q4 2024, reflecting stronger recent cash flows.
    • Volatility: FCF fluctuates quarterly (e.g., negative in Q3 2024), likely due to lumpy contract payments in its smart card solutions business.
  • Key Financial Ratios:

    RatioNEXG (Current)Industry Avg.Implication
    P/E19.3125–30Undervalued vs. peers.
    P/B3.782.5–4.0Slightly premium to book value.
    ROE28.40%12–18%Exceptional capital efficiency.
    Debt/Equity0.120.3–0.5Low leverage; balance sheet strength.
    Quick Ratio3.461.5–2.0Strong liquidity cushion.

    Interpretation: NEXG’s high ROE and low debt signal efficient capital use, but P/B suggests the market prices in intangible assets (e.g., IP) not fully captured on the balance sheet.


Market Position

  • Market Share & Rank:

    • NEXG operates in Malaysia’s niche smart card and secure ICT solutions market, estimated to hold ~10–15% share domestically (based on revenue vs. peers like GHL Systems).
    • Segment Breakdown:
      • Customised Smart Card Solutions (70% of revenue): Growth at ~8% YoY.
      • Manufacturing (25%): Stagnant (2% YoY), likely due to competition from cheaper imports.
      • Investment Holding (5%): Minimal impact.
  • Industry Trends:

    • Catalysts: Rising demand for biometric verification (+20% CAGR in ASEAN) and government digital ID projects.
    • Threats: Semiconductor supply chain bottlenecks could delay hardware deliveries.
  • Competitive Advantages:

    • IP Portfolio: Proprietary biometric and card issuance systems.
    • Client Stickiness: Long-term contracts with Malaysian government agencies.
    • Peer Comparison: NEXG’s ROE (28.4%) outperforms GHL Systems (18.2%) and Scicom MSC (15.8%).

Risk Assessment

  • Macro Risks:
    • FX Volatility: 30% of components imported; MYR weakness could raise costs.
    • Inflation: Wage pressures in Malaysia’s tech sector (~6% annual increase).
  • Operational Risks:
    • Supply Chain: Inventory turnover dipped to 2.13x (2024) from 2.77x in 2023, signaling potential stockpile issues.
    • Debt/EBITDA: Low at 0.34x, but EBITDA volatility (QoQ swings of ±20%) warrants monitoring.
  • Regulatory Risks:
    • Data privacy laws (e.g., Malaysia’s PDPA) could increase compliance costs.
  • Mitigation Strategies:
    • Hedge raw material purchases; diversify suppliers beyond China.

Competitive Landscape

  • Key Competitors:

    CompanyROEDebt/EquityP/E
    NEXG Berhad28.4%0.1219.3
    GHL Systems18.2%0.3522.1
    Scicom MSC15.8%0.2818.7
  • Disruptive Threats:

    • E-wallets: Reduced demand for physical smart cards (e.g., GrabPay, Touch ‘n Go).
  • Strategic Moves: NEXG’s pivot to biometrics (e.g., facial recognition tech) differentiates it from peers.


Valuation Assessment

  • Intrinsic Valuation (DCF):
    • Assumptions: WACC 10%, terminal growth 3%, FCF growth 8% (next 5 years).
    • NAV: MYR 0.62/share (15% upside to current MYR 0.535).
  • Valuation Ratios:
    • P/E (19.3): Below 5-year average (22.5), suggesting undervaluation.
    • EV/EBITDA (10.9): In line with peers (10–12x).
  • Investment Outlook:
    • Upside Catalysts: Government contracts, biometric adoption.
    • Risks: E-wallet disruption, margin compression.
  • Target Price: MYR 0.65 (12-month, 21% upside).
  • Recommendations:
    • Buy: Value investors (low P/E, high ROE).
    • Hold: Dividend seekers (1.4% yield).
    • Sell: If debt/EBITDA exceeds 0.5x.
  • Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5 – Strong fundamentals with manageable risks).

Summary: NEXG combines robust profitability (28.4% ROE) with a niche market position, but growth depends on executing its biometrics strategy. Valuation suggests moderate upside, balanced by industry risks.

Market Snapshots: Trends, Signals, and Risks Revealed


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