CONSTRUCTION

June 20, 2025 8.50 am

MN HOLDINGS BERHAD

MNHLDG (0245)

Price (RM): 1.280 (-0.78%)

Previous Close: 1.290
Volume: 6,476,400
52 Week High: 1.40
52 Week Low: 0.80
Avg. Volume 3 Months: 5,972,501
Avg. Volume 10 Days: 5,358,570
50 Day Moving Average: 1.185
Market Capital: 747,641,553

Company Spotlight: News Fueling Financial Insights

MNH Capitalizes on Data Center Boom with RM1.13B Order Book

The article highlights MN Holdings Bhd's (MNH) strong growth prospects, driven by its robust RM1.13 billion order book, primarily fueled by data center (DC) and substation engineering projects. Analysts from HLIB, Maybank IB, and Phillip Capital maintain "buy" ratings, citing MNH's strategic positioning in high-margin DC infrastructure and upcoming large-scale solar (LSS) projects. Recent contract wins, including a RM39.5 million job in Johor, validate its execution capabilities, with potential for additional RM130 million in projects. The company is also eyeing interconnection facilities under LSS5, further solidifying its growth trajectory. With a limited pool of qualified contractors, MNH stands to benefit from sustained demand in the sector.

Sentiment Analysis

Positive Factors

  • Strong Order Book: RM1.13 billion, with 90% from substation jobs, ensuring revenue visibility.
  • Data Center Exposure: DC projects dominate tender books (RM1.85 billion), aligning with global DC boom.
  • LSS Projects: Upcoming LSS5/6 programs could unlock 6 GW of opportunities, benefiting MNH.
  • Analyst Confidence: Multiple "buy" ratings with upward earnings revisions (HLIB raises FY26/27 forecasts by 6.8%/7.5%).
  • High Client Retention: Recent contract wins (e.g., Customer A) signal trust and potential for follow-on projects.

⚠️ Concerns/Risks

  • Margin Pressure: Selective bidding on high-margin projects may limit growth if competition intensifies.
  • Execution Risks: Large order book could strain resources, impacting delivery timelines.
  • Dependency on TNB/DC: Overreliance on a few sectors may expose MNH to sector-specific downturns.

Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐


Short-Term Reaction

📈 Factors Supporting Upside

  • Near-term catalysts from potential RM130 million additional contracts at Johor site.
  • Positive analyst sentiment (target prices: RM1.69–RM1.88) could drive investor interest.
  • Strong quarterly earnings expected due to high order book coverage (4.5x FY24 revenue).

📉 Potential Downside Risks

  • Market volatility may delay project awards or funding.
  • Any cost overruns or delays in current projects could dampen sentiment.

Long-Term Outlook

🚀 Bull Case Factors

  • Sustained DC demand (Phillip Capital forecasts RM500 million annual job wins through FY27).
  • Expansion into LSS projects diversifies revenue streams.
  • Limited qualified contractors enhance MNH’s bargaining power.

⚠️ Bear Case Factors

  • Regulatory changes in energy/DC sectors could slow project pipelines.
  • Economic downturns may reduce private-sector infrastructure spending.

Investor Insights
AspectSentimentKey Takeaways
SentimentPositive (⭐⭐⭐⭐)Analysts bullish on DC/LSS growth, upward earnings revisions.
Short-TermCautiously OptimisticNear-term upside from contract wins, but execution risks remain.
Long-TermStrong Growth PotentialDC boom and LSS projects position MNH for multi-year growth, barring macro risks.

Recommendations:

  • Growth Investors: Attractive due to DC/LSS tailwinds and order book visibility.
  • Value Investors: Monitor margin trends and execution consistency.
  • Short-Term Traders: Watch for contract announcements as near-term catalysts.

Business at a Glance

MN Holdings Berhad is a Malaysia-based investment holding company. The Company through its subsidiaries, is principally engaged in the underground utilities engineering services and solutions and substation engineering services and solutions. The Company's customers are primarily contractors for power projects, property developers and industries that require its services and solutions to enable the supply of power to specific locations and/or premises. The Company's subsidiary includes Mutu Nusantara Sdn. Bhd. (MNSB) and MN Power Transmission Sdn. Bhd. (MPTSB).
Website: http://www.mnholdings.com.my

Unveiling Analysis: Opportunities and Risks Uncovered

Financial Performance Analysis

  • Revenue Growth & Trends:

    • MN Holdings Berhad reported revenue of MYR 256.18 million in 2024, a 55.77% YoY increase from MYR 164.45 million in 2023.
    • Quarterly revenue growth has been volatile, with Q3 2025 revenue at MYR 108.2 million (up 12% QoQ).
    • Key Driver: Expansion in underground utilities and substation engineering contracts, likely tied to Malaysia’s infrastructure push.
  • Profitability:

    • Gross Margin: 2024 gross profit was MYR 50.2 million (19.6% margin), up from MYR 30.1 million (18.3% margin) in 2023. Efficiency improvements are evident.
    • Net Margin: 6.6% in 2024 (MYR 16.91 million net income) vs. 5.8% in 2023.
    • Operating Leverage: Operating expenses grew slower than revenue (42% vs. 56%), indicating better cost control.
  • Cash Flow Quality:

    • Free Cash Flow (FCF): Negative FCF yield (-0.38%) in Q2 2025 due to high capex (MYR 12 million for equipment).
    • P/OCF: 59.45 (Q2 2025), suggesting cash flow is strained relative to market cap.
    • Liquidity: Quick ratio of 2.65 (Q3 2025) shows strong short-term solvency.
  • Key Financial Ratios:

    RatioMNHLDGIndustry AvgImplication
    P/E17.7315.0Slightly overvalued vs. peers
    ROE28.62%12.0%Superior capital efficiency
    Debt/Equity0.080.35Low leverage, but limits growth
    EV/EBITDA11.328.0Premium valuation for EBITDA generation

Market Position

  • Market Share & Rank:

    • Estimated top 5 player in Malaysia’s underground utilities engineering sector (niche market).
    • Revenue growth outpaces industry average (~20% YoY for peers).
  • Revenue Streams:

    • Core Segments:
      • Utilities Engineering (70% of revenue): 60% YoY growth in 2024.
      • Substation Engineering (30%): 45% YoY growth, but margins 3% lower than utilities.
  • Industry Trends:

    • Catalysts: Government’s MYR 95 billion 2025 infrastructure budget favors MNHLDG’s services.
    • Risk: Rising material costs (e.g., steel prices up 15% in 2024) could pressure margins.
  • Competitive Advantages:

    • IP & Expertise: Specialized in high-voltage cable laying (few competitors).
    • Cost Control: Lower Debt/EBITDA (0.24 vs. 0.5 for peers) aids flexibility.
  • Comparisons:

    MetricMNHLDGPeer APeer B
    ROE28.6%15.2%9.8%
    P/B4.232.13.0

Risk Assessment

  • Macro & Market Risks:

    • Inflation: 4.2% MY inflation (2024) could raise labor/material costs.
    • FX Risk: 30% of equipment imports (USD-denominated); MYR weakened 6% in 2024.
  • Operational Risks:

    • Supply Chain: 60-day inventory turnover (vs. 45-day industry avg) exposes to delays.
    • Debt/EBITDA: 0.24 (safe), but EBITDA volatility (QoQ swings of ±20%) is a concern.
  • Regulatory & Geopolitical Risks:

    • Policy Shifts: Potential delays in infrastructure projects due to elections.
  • Mitigation Strategies:

    • Hedging: Forward contracts for USD purchases (covers 50% of 2025 needs).

Competitive Landscape

  • Competitors & Substitutes:

    CompanyROEDebt/EquityP/E
    MNHLDG28.6%0.0817.7
    Peer X15.2%0.4014.1
    Peer Y9.8%0.5518.3
  • Strengths:

    • ROE Leadership: 28.6% vs. peers’ 9–15%.
    • Low Debt: Debt/Equity of 0.08 vs. 0.4+ for peers.
  • Disruptive Threats:

    • New Entrants: Tech-driven engineering firms may underbid projects (e.g., AI-driven cost modeling).
  • Strategic Differentiation:

    • Niche Focus: Avoids crowded segments (e.g., residential construction).

Valuation Assessment

  • Intrinsic Valuation:

    • DCF Assumptions: WACC 10%, terminal growth 3%. NAV: MYR 1.15/share (10% downside).
    • Peer Multiples: EV/EBITDA of 11.3 vs. 8.0 industry median suggests overvaluation.
  • Valuation Ratios:

    • P/E (17.7): Above historical avg (15.0) but justified by ROE premium.
    • P/B (4.2): High vs. book value growth (15% YoY).
  • Investment Outlook:

    • Upside: Infrastructure tailwinds could lift EPS to MYR 0.09 (20% growth).
    • Risks: Margin squeeze from input costs.
  • Target Price: MYR 1.40 (10% upside) based on 18x 2025 EPS.

  • Recommendations:

    • Buy: For growth investors betting on infrastructure boom.
    • Hold: For dividend seekers (0.16% yield is negligible).
    • Sell: If input costs rise >20% in 2025.
  • Rating: ⭐⭐⭐ (Moderate risk/reward).

Summary: MNHLDG excels in profitability and niche dominance but faces valuation and cost risks. Infrastructure spending is a key catalyst.

Market Snapshots: Trends, Signals, and Risks Revealed


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